Boise State Football Statistics - Sports Predictions

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Boise State Football Statistics

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BOISE STATE BRONCOS FOOTBALL: definition of BOISE STATE BRONCOS FOOTBALL and synonyms of BOISE STATE BRONCOS FOOTBALL (English)

Boise State Broncos football From Wikipedia

This page discusses the Boise State football program. For more Boise State athletics, see Boise State Broncos.

  • Junior College (1933-1967)
  • Division II Independent (1968-69)
  • Big Sky Conference (Div. II) (1970-1977)
  • Big Sky Conference (Div. 1-AA) (1978-1995)
  • Big West Conference (1996-2000)
  • Western Athletic Conference (2001-present)
  • Junior College Record: 199-61-9(.757)
  • University Record: 354-143-2(.709)
  • WAC Record: 68-4(.944)
  • Division I FBS Bowl Record: 6-4(.600)
  • BCS Record: 2-0(1.000)

The Boise State Broncos football program represents Boise State University in the Western Athletic Conference. The program is best known for its 2006 season, in which it posted a 13–0 WAC Championship season capped by an overtime win in the 2007 Fiesta Bowl against the Oklahoma Sooners. The 2009 season, capped off with a win over the previously unbeaten TCU Horned Frogs in the 2010 Fiesta Bowl, saw the Broncos become the second team in major-college history to finish a season at 14–0. It is also well known for the unique blue turf of Bronco Stadium.

Records and statistics Team records
  • Consecutive victories: 22, 1980-1981 & 2003-2004
  • Largest NCAA Division 1 margin of victory: 74 vs. Humboldt State, 1986
  • Victories in a season: 14, 2009
Career records
  • Career passing yards: 9,819, Ryan Dinwiddie, 2000-2003
  • Career passing touchdowns: 82, Ryan Dinwiddie, 2000-2003
  • Career rushing yards: 4,475, Cedric Minter, 1977-1980
  • Career rushing touchdowns: 58, Ian Johnson, 2005-2008 (also is the all time WAC record for rushing TD's in a career)
  • Career receiving yards: 2,751, Ryan Ikebe, 1993-1996
  • Career receiving touchdowns: 30, Don Hutt, 1970-1973
  • Career all-purpose yards: 6,670, Brock Forsey, 1999-2002
  • Career points leader: 408, Brock Forsey, 1999-2002
  • Career tackles leader: 415, Scott Russell, 1987-1990
  • Career sacks leader: 54.5, Erik Helgeson, 1987-1990
  • Career interceptions leader: 24, Steve Forrey, 1968-1970
Single-game records
  • Most passing yards in a single game: 532, Ryan Dinwiddie vs. Louisiana Tech, 2003
  • Most passing touchdowns in a single game: 6, Jim McMillan vs. Montana, 1974
  • Most rushing yards in a single game: 261, Cedric Minter vs. Northern Michigan, 1978
  • Most rushing touchdowns in a single game: 5, Jon Helmandollar vs. Louisiana Tech, 2004 & Ian Johnson vs. Oregon State, 2006
  • Most receiving yards in a single game: 264, Winky White vs. Nevada, 1990
  • Most receiving touchdowns in a single game: 4, three players tied for mark.
  • Most receptions in a single game: 16, Tim Gilligan vs. Louisiana Tech, 2003
  • Most all-purpose offense in a single game: 292, Brock Forsey vs. Northern Iowa, 2000
  • Longest field goal made: 56 yards, Roberto Moran vs. UC Davis, 1985
  • Most points scored in a single game: 77, vs. San José State, 2003
Single-season records
  • Most passing yards in a season: 4,356, Ryan Dinwiddie, 2003
  • Most passing touchdowns in a season: 39, Kellen Moore, 2009
  • Best efficiency rating in a season (min. 100 att.): 188.18, Ryan Dinwiddie, 2002
  • Most rushing yards in a season: 1,613, Ian Johnson, 2006
  • Most rushing touchdowns in a season: 32, Brock Forsey, 2002, Ian Johnson 2006
  • Most receiving yards in a season: 1,192, Tim Gilligan, 2003
  • Most receiving touchdowns in a season: 14 Austin Pettis, 2009
  • Most receptions in a season: 82, Jeremy Childs, 2007
  • Most total tackles in a season: 164, Scott Russell, 1988
  • Most sacks in a season: 20, Chris Wing, 1996
  • Most interceptions in a season: 12, Steve Forrey, 1968

Statistics compiled from the Boise State University football Media Guide.

Division I-A bowl game appearances and results Conference championships Current players Retired Numbers
  • 12 - Jim McMillan - QB, 1971-1974
College Football Hall of Famers
  • Randy Trautman - DT, 1978-1981
Pro Football Hall of Famers
  • Dave Wilcox - RB 1960-1962 Inducted 2000
Individual awards AP All-Americans
  • Ryan Clady, 2007 1st team all-American OT
  • Ian Johnson, 2006 3rd team RB (1st team on SI, 2nd team on Sporting News)
  • Tyler Jones, 2004 2nd team K
  • Joe O'Brien, 1994 1st team DE
  • Rashid Gayle, 1994 2nd team DB
  • K.C. Adams, 1994 2nd team AP
  • Frank Robinson, 1991 1st team CB
  • Erik Helgeson, 1990 1st team & 1989 2nd team DE
  • Peter Kwiatkowski, 1987 1st team DE
  • Tom DeWitz, 1987 1st team & 1986 2nd team OG
  • Markus Koch, 1985 1st team DE & 1983 1st team DT
  • Carl Keever, 1984 1st team DE & 1982 1st team LB
  • John Rade, 1982 1st team DE & 1981 2nd team LB
  • Randy Trautman, 1981 & 1980 1st team DT
  • Rick Woods, 1981 2nd team SS
  • Kipp Bedard, 1981 2nd team WR
  • Rodney Webster, 1981 2nd team TB
  • Cedric Minter, 1980 2nd team & 1978 3rd team RB
  • Joe Aliotti, 1979 1st team QB
  • Doug Scott, 1979 1st team DT
  • Bob McCauley, 1978 2nd team LB
  • Mark Villano, 1978 3rd team OC
  • Terry Hutt, 1977 1st team WR
  • Harold Cotton, 1977 1st team OT
  • Chris Malmgren, 1977 2nd team DT
  • Jim McMillan, 1974 1st team QB
  • Don Hutt, 1973 1st team WR
  • Steve Svitak, 1969 1st team LB
Current NFL players
  • Gerald Alexander - S, Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Chris Carr - S, Baltimore Ravens
  • Ryan Clady - OT, Denver Broncos
  • Daryn Colledge - OG, Green Bay Packers
  • Korey Hall - FB, Green Bay Packers
  • Quintin Mikell - DB, Philadelphia Eagles
  • Legedu Naanee - WR, San Diego Chargers
  • Orlando Scandrick - CB, Dallas Cowboys
  • Derek Schouman - TE, Buffalo Bills
  • Ian Johnson - RB, Minnesota Vikings
  • Vinny Perretta - WR, Minnesota Vikings
Current CFL players
  • Jared Zabransky - QB, Edmonton Eskimos
  • Andrew Woodruff - OL, Montreal Alouettes
  • Jon Gott - OL, Calgary Stampeders
  • Drisan James - WR Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Other former football players
  • Dave Wilcox - LB, 1960-1962 (Boise Junior College)
  • Jerry Inman - DL, 1962-1963 (Boise Junior College)
  • Steve Svitak - LB, 1968-1969
  • Faddie Tillman - DE, 1968-1970
  • Eric Guthrie - QB, 1968-1971
  • Steve Vogel - LB, 1970-1971
  • Al Marshall - WR, 1970-1972
  • Dan Dixon - OG, 1971-1973
  • Don Hutt - WR, 1971-1973
  • Roland "Rollie" Woolsey - DB, 1972-1974
  • Ron Franklin - DT, 1973-1974
  • Jim McMillan - QB, 1972-1974
  • Jim Meeks - DB, 1971-1975
  • Gary Gorrell - LB, 1972-1975
  • John Smith - RB, 1972-1975
  • Alva Liles - OG, 1974-1977
  • Larry Polowski - LB, 1975-1978
  • Nash Balinton- DB, 1975-1978
  • Cedric Minter - RB, 1977-1980
  • David Hughes - RB, 1977-1980
  • Randy Trautman - DT, 1980-1981
  • Rick Woods - SS, 1978-1981
  • John Rade - DL, 1981-1982
  • Michel Bourgeau - DT, 1980-1983
  • Chuck Butler - LB, 1982-1983
  • Carl Keever - LB, 1982-1984
  • Markus Koch - DE, 1982-1985
  • Jon Francis - RB, 1982-1985
  • Jim Ellis - LB, 1983-1986
  • Lance Sellers - LB, 1983-1986
  • Chuck Compton - DB, 1984-1986
  • Frank Robinson - CB, 1988-1991
  • Kimo Von Oelhoffen - DT, 1992-1993
  • Rashid Gayle - CB, 1992-1995
  • Chris Wing - LB, 1994-1996
  • Bryan Johnson - FB, 1996-1999
  • Dave Stachelski - TE, 1997-1999
  • Shaunard Harts - S, 1997-2000
  • Bart Hendricks - QB, 1997-2000
  • Dempsy Dees - CB, 1997-2000
  • Jeb Putzier - TE, 1998-2001
  • Matt Hill - OT, 1998-2001
  • Brock Forsey - RB, 1998-2002
  • Alex Guerrero - DL, 2002-2005
External links References

ICAC Champions: 1947 • 1948 • 1949 • 1950 • 1951 • 1952 • 1953 • 1954 • 1956 • 1957 • 1958 • 1961 • 1965 • 1966

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2012 Boise State Broncos football team - Gpedia, Your Encyclopedia

2012 Boise State Broncos football team

The 2012 Boise State Broncos football team represented Boise State University in the 2012 NCAA Division I FBS football season. The Broncos were led by head coach Chris Petersen and played their home games at Bronco Stadium. This season was Boise State's second in the Mountain West Conference. They finished the season 11–2, 7–1 in Mountain West play to share the conference championship with Fresno State and San Diego State. They were invited to and were champions of the Maaco Bowl Las Vegas for the third consecutive year, this year defeating Washington 28–26.

Maaco Bowl Las Vegas champion

  • + – Conference co-champions

The Broncos opened the season ranked #5 and #7 in the AP and coaches polls, respectively, by far the highest season starting ranking in school history and the highest starting position for a non-BCS team. They opened the season with a win against #19/#22 Georgia at Georgia Dome in one of the nation's premier games of the opening weekend. The Broncos would win their next nine games and climbed to #2 in the coaches, AP and Harris polls and #3 in the BCS poll for their highest ranking ever in all four polls. On November 12, #5 Boise State lost to their rival #24 TCU, ending the nations longest home winning streak. They were invited to the Maaco Bowl Las Vegas for the second consecutive year where they defeated Arizona State 56–24 to finish the season 12–1 and ranked #6/#8 in the coaches/AP polls.

Boise State set two records in 2011. The Broncos became the first team in FBS history to win 50 games in a four-year span (2008–2011). Additionally, Kellen Moore became the winningest starting quarterback in FBS history with 50 wins. He passed former Texas quarterback Colt McCoy (45 wins).

Award watch lists

Listed in the order that they were released.

Mountain West media days

At the Mountain West media days, held at the Cosmopolitan in Las Vegas, Nevada, the Broncos were picked as the overwhelming favorites to win the conference title, receiving 27 of a possible 30 first place votes. This was the fifth straight year that Boise State was picked as the preseason champion of their conference. [6] So. WR Matt Miller and Sr. OL Joe Kellog were selected to the all-conference first team offense. Sr. DL Mike Atkinson and Sr. DB Jamar Taylor were selected to the all-conference first team defense. Sr. WR Mitch Burroughs was selected as the returner of the year and as the special teams player of the year.

Media poll
  1. Boise State – 296 (27)
  2. Nevada – 244
  3. Fresno State – 231 (2)
  4. Wyoming – 213
  5. San Diego State – 173 (1)
  6. Air Force – 170
  7. Hawaii – 116
  8. Colorado State – 111
  9. UNLV – 63
  10. New Mexico – 33
Preseason polls

On August 2, Boise State was ranked #22 in preseason Coaches' poll. [7] Their opening season opponent, Michigan State, debuted at #13. This will mark the fourth straight season that Boise State will start the season against a ranked opponent from a BCS conference (they won the previous three).

On August 18, Boise State was ranked #24 in the preseason AP poll.

  • ^A Denotes the largest crowd in Bronco Stadium history. Previous high was 34,196 vs Air Force in 2011.
at Michigan State

First ever meeting. They will meet again in 2022 in Boise and 2023 in East Lansing.

Uniform combination: blue helmet, white jersey, orange pants.

vs Miami (OH)

2nd meeting. 1–0 all time. Last meeting 2009, 48–0 Bronco win in Boise.

Uniform combination: blue helmet, blue jersey, blue pants.

3rd meeting. 2–0 all time. Last meeting 2004, 28–27 Bronco win in Boise. This is the first of a scheduled 12 year home and home series.

Uniform combination: blue helmet, blue jersey, blue pants.

at New Mexico

4th meeting. 3–0 all time. Last meeting 2011, 45–0 Bronco win in Boise.

Uniform combination: white helmet, white jersey, blue pants.

at Southern Miss

3rd meeting. 2–0 all time. Last meeting 2008, 24–7 Bronco win in Hattiesburg. Southern Miss will return to Boise in 2013.

Uniform combination: white helmet, white jersey, white pants.

vs Fresno State

15th meeting. 10–4 all time. Last meeting 2011, 57–7 Bronco win in Fresno.

Uniform combination: blue helmet, grey jersey, blue pants.

8th meeting. 4–3 all time. Last meeting 2011, 48–21 Bronco win in Las Vegas.

Uniform combination: black helmet, black jersey, black pants.

at Wyoming

7th meeting. 6–0 all time. Last meeting 2011, 36–14 Bronco win in Boise.

Uniform combination: white helmet, white jersey, orange pants.

vs San Diego State

2nd meeting. 1–0 all time. Last meeting 2011, 52–35 Bronco win in San Diego.

Uniform combination: white helmet, orange jersey, white pants.

13th meeting. 9–3 all time. Last meeting 2010, 42–7 Bronco win in Boise.

Uniform combination: blue helmet, white jersey, white pants.

vs Colorado State

2nd meeting. 1–0 all time. Last meeting 2011, 63–13 Bronco win in Fort Collins.

Uniform combination: black helmet, blue jersey, black pants.

39th meeting. 25–13 all time. Last meeting 2011, 30–10 Bronco win in Boise.

Uniform combination: blue helmet, white jersey, blue pants.

Washington–Maaco Bowl Las Vegas

2nd meeting. 0–1 all time. Last meeting 2007, 24–10 Husky win in Seattle. The Broncos and Huskies will also open the 2013 season against each other in Seattle with the Huskies going to Boise in 2015.

Uniform combination: black helmet, blue jersey, black pants.

NR = Not ranked. RV = Received votes. ( ) = First place votes.

Boise State Broncos football statistical leaders

Boise State Broncos football statistical leaders Connected to: From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

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FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis, Futures: Boise State RB Jay Ajayi

Football Outsiders Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

Analyzing the tape of college football's best players. and the NFL's future stars.

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Most Recent FO Features

» The Week In Quotes: October 20, 2017

This week: TV announcers stay classy and go full Ron Burgundy; Ryan Kerrigan goes full Steve Austin; Bill Belichick waxes philosophical; and the fattest damn running back we've ever seen.

Most Recent Extra Points Futures: Boise State RB Jay Ajayi

Jay Ajayi is a wild horse. Watching him gallop about the field, his gait and hips remind me of a potential thoroughbred.

No, a wild horse can't become a thoroughbred in real life. Thanks for the reminder, Rick. It's always swell having readers like you who point out the little things that jar your sensibility for metaphors.

Those of you thoroughbred owners who are willing to put down your snifter of cognac, recline in your leather wing back chair by the fire, and suspend disbelief for a couple of dozen paragraphs while your assistant massages your feet, maybe you'll get past the fact that a wild horse cannot actually become a thoroughbred.

Then you can appreciate the point that a thoroughbred has a few things in common with wild horses: speed, agility, and spirit.

Like a wild horse (excuse me, some wild horses), thoroughbreds are know as horses that run hot. The difference aside from breeding (thank you, Rick), thoroughbreds are tamed.

DeMarco Murray was a wild horse as a freshman at Oklahoma. By the time Murray finished his injury-riddled career with the Sooners, he no longer ran with the thrilling recklessness that defined the early days. However, the hard lessons learn made him a better runner.

Sam Gash and Earnest Byner flanked me at the fence of Senior Bowl practices and watched Murray display the patience, balance, and burst to time a crease and blow through it to the secondary against a defensive unit stacked with talent. It was Byner who punctuated that run with a one-word remark to his old friend on the other side of me. Thoroughbred.

The best NFL runners don't always enter the league as thoroughbreds. Adrian Peterson was a wild horse if I ever saw one. I still think of this play in the 2005 Holiday Bowl against Haloti Ngata and the Oregon Ducks when I recall the state of Peterson's game as a collegian.

As this draw play covers almost the entire width of the field, it serves as a canvas for Peterson's speed, agility, recklessness with ball security, and willingness to risk a huge loss for a short gain. Watch most of Peterson's college tape and there's a primal, predator/prey vibe that comes with watching a National Geographic special.

Tell me Bo Jackson runs didn't have a striking similarity to a pride of lions trying (and failing) to bring down a rhino.

As our narrator says, "Even six lions don't have the power to pull down an animal that size." When it came to Jackson, sometimes 11 Lions, Bengals, or Giants didn't have a chance.

One commonality with great running backs is something that my friend Sigmund Bloom defines as a 1-on-11 mentality. On any given play, the best runners not only believe that they can beat all 11 defenders if they need to, but they play as if they relish the opportunity.

Peterson, Jackson, Jim Brown, Barry Sanders, Walter Payton, Earl Campbell, and Gale Sayers all express this primal quality in their running style. Billy Sims, Gregg Pruitt, and Marshawn Lynch may never earn a bust in Canton, but they ran this way at their best, too.

We like to think that these backs ran with abandon every game and every rep. It's because the coaches for these players knew that you don't place a thoroughbred in a tightly fenced area. You give them strictly defined boundaries, but a hell of a lot of room to run. This is true with good management of talented employees. Want to waste a thoroughbred of a worker capable of transforming an aspect of your team, department, division, or company? Just weigh them down with process. Eighty percent of your workers might need that process to be effective, but with true talent you set wide boundaries and let them roam free. If his co-workers grow irritated, they'll begrudgingly understand as they begin to see the results that transform the job. You don't think some of Barry Sanders' runs weren't frustrating and head-scratching for some of his offensive linemen? You live with experimentation when the talent is this strong.

Jay Ajayi is not a special back, at least not right now. He has the talent to develop into the best back of the 2015 draft class. Although not a generational talent that many of us thought Peterson was (I labeled him as such in my pre-draft analysis), Ajayi runs like a wild horse. Ajayi has the talent to develop into one of the best backs of the 2015 draft class -- if not the best overall.

Much like fellow wild horse Adrian Peterson, Ajayi needs some firm boundaries to thrive -- just don't load him down with too much to think about and risk spoiling what makes the Boise State running back a potentially creative, dynamic force at his position. Ajayi is a fine receiver from the backfield with feature-back size, burst, and flexible hips to change direction while running at a good clip. There are also flashes of that 1-on-11 mentality that good running backs possess, but a wise team will be open to baby-stepping Ajayi into a starter's role as it focuses on one thing. It's the same skill that most backs with dynamic flashes must additionally refine as they transition from wild horse to thoroughbred: Patience.

This week's Futures is not an analysis filled with multiple video illustrations of Ajayi's game. Sometimes in this space I'll share multiple plays -- sometimes from two or three games -- and break down what a player can and can't do on the field. This is often task-oriented analysis that can get readers lost in the big picture -- the pivotal issue(s) that will have the greatest impact on that player's development. I prefer to spend more time on fewer things and take a more strategic approach to the analysis.

In this case, what is the one area of Ajayi's game that will be the biggest difference between development into a valuable starter with flashes of Pro Bowl play; emergence as a contributor who can't convince the coaches that he can be the main man; or disappointment as an undeniable talent languishing on the bench because he can't put it all together?

The answer is patience, and how a team will go about helping Ajayi refine it. And in this case, this analysis only requires one play to make the point.

Watch this first-down run and it may appear that Ajayi makes the only decision he can when the linebacker fills the gap of the runner's intended cutback lane.

Unless you're familiar with good press and cut principles with running back play, it appears that Ajayi did the best that any back could do in this situation and it's time to go onto the next play. Hell, you might even wonder why anyone compiling this cutup would even bother including this play.

Andre Ellington understood press and cut principles at Clemson, but there's another level of patience that good veteran backs acquire during their initial years in the NFL.

Ellington showed more signs of this patience in 2014. It's the brand of patience that the likes of Arian Foster, Clinton Portis, Edgerrin James, and dozens of other backs would have used to foil this linebacker who dropped Ajayi for a loss.

Chad Spann is a zone runner who joined me in an RSP Film Room episode on Ameer Abdullah this season. Spann worked out with University of Minnesota running back David Cobb last offseason, reviewing film and showing Cobb where he left yards on the field. I'm confident that if Spann worked with Ajayi the same way he worked with Cobb, he would see this play on film and have Ajayi note that he left yards on the field because the Boise State back failed to recognize a press-and-cut opportunity. Watch this play a frame at a time and it becomes clearer how Ajayi failed to see the blocking scheme's full development and where he could have created a two-way go against the linebacker -- even against an eight-man box.

The play begins from 13 personnel -- a three-tight end set -- with a single tight end on the left side. The gap that the single tight end and left tackle create with their blocks is the lane where Ajayi makes his cutback after taking the exchange.

The best way to set up this cutback is to "press" the crease -- in other words, the runner sells the defense on the idea that he's heading in a direction other than that opening between the left tackle and tight end. The offensive line sells this idea with the right guard and right tackle double-teaming a defender to create a gap as the left side of the line slants right.

All of this action to the right should influence the linebackers reading the guards and/or center to account for a run in the middle of the formation or possibly to the right -- except the linebacker circled in red below who must account or the backside of the formation. It's Ajayi's job to make the final sale of a run to the middle or right by "pressing" the crease in that direction.

If Ajay takes the exchange and gives a strong enough indication that he's heading inside, the press will not only influence the backside linebacker circled above, but will also set up blocks beyond the line of scrimmage.

As we see above, the left tackle collapses the defensive end to the middle of the formation, and the interior linemen are a step or two away from working to the second level of the defense. One of these blocks will include an interior lineman turning outside and sealing the backside linebacker to the flat.

It's up to Ajayi to sell the inside run enough to force the linebacker closer to the line of scrimmage and further inside, which will give his interior lineman an easier angle to the defender. Instead, Ajay already shows his intentions to bounce the play outside within two steps of the exchange with the quarterback.

Note the placement of the left foot with the toe pointed at 10 o'clock. The linebacker isn't likely keying on Ajayi's foot, but look at the direction of the hips based on the orientation of that step and it's clear Ajayi is bouncing this run along the trajectory of the orange arrow.

If Ajayi followed a line closer to the middle and cut back (the inside line in green that forks at the outside crease), his press encourages four critical things:

  • The defensive end thinks his penetration across the face of the left tackle is the correct decision, and it helps the tackle widen the inside seal of the backside crease.
  • The defensive back working the edge on the tight end continues to curl upfield and inside and allows the tight end to let the defender go in that direction -- widening the outside seal of the backside crease.
  • The backside linebacker (red box) sees the press inside and approaches the line of scrimmage with a tighter angle towards the left tackle. This tighter angle makes it easier for either the linebacker crashing inside to give Ajayi an easier cut outside…
  • … or, the interior lineman working outside reaches the linebacker, pushes the defender outside, and gives Ajayi a crease inside the block and a one-on-one with the middle linebacker. In the photo above, the middle linebacker is already working outside, but if Ajayi followed the green path, the linebacker would have more likely worked to the middle and not have nearly as good of an angle to the ball carrier on the cutback.

Instead, the backside linebacker has a strong angle to Ajayi despite the tight end's process of widening the crease with his block. Plus, the middle linebacker is heading downhill to the outside as reinforcement. If Ajayi followed the path drawn below, the interior lineman gets the angle on the linebacker.

As Ajayi opts to bend-bounce outside without a press, the linebacker has an unblocked angle on the runner

The result is a short loss, but the arrows indicate Ajayi could have earned 2 or 3 yards downhill, which would give the back enough time to accelerate or put a move on the middle linebacker in a one-on-one situation.

This should have been no worse than a gain of 4 or 5 yards. It's gains like these that a back like C.J. Spiller fails to earn consistently. While some of Spiller's issues have to do with injury -- and possibly injury influencing Spiller to push for bigger plays when he should be more patient -- the soon-to-be former Bills back also failed to maximize what his line could do for him. And the more a defense can tell that the back won't follow his blocking scheme, the less the defense has to honor some of its possibilities.

The best fit for Ajayi would be a team that has two or three veteran backs. One of these runners would ideally be a successful starter who is on the downside of his career and understands that he might be the man this year, but his other job is to actively share his knowledge with the rookie.

The worst fit for Ajayi would be a team that envisions him as the immediate feature back, plugs him into the starting lineup from Day 1, and then punishes Ajayi with a benching when he leaves yards on the field between flashes of feature back promise. Even if there's a wily veteran in this circumstance, a dysfunctional organization could alienate the vet by rewarding the starter role without a true competition in camp, or failing to communicate its true intentions while drafting a top running back prospect if that veteran is added as a free agent with the promise of starting.

These are the extreme possibilities. Ajayi could make a smooth enough transition immediately. Although this play from the 2014 season is indicative of many runs where Ajayi lacked top-notch patience, the Boise State runner has improved considerably as a runner from 2013 to 2014.

Fans whose team drafts Ajayi should have reason for optimism, but patience -- from everyone involved -- is recommended.

Matt Waldman authors the Rookie Scouting Portfolio. available for pre-order now. The guide covers over 140 prospects at the offensive skill positions (QB, RB, WR, and TE). If you're a fantasy owner the 50-page Post-Draft Add-on comes with the 2012 -- 2014 RSPs at no additional charge and available for download within a week after the NFL Draft. Best of all, 10 percent of every sale is donated to Darkness to Light to combat sexual abuse. You can purchase past editions of the Rookie Scouting Portfolio (2006-2014) for just $9.95 apiece.

Take a video tour of the RSP.

Posted by: Matt Waldman on 04 Mar 2015

38 comments, Last at 20 Oct 2017, 8:23am by JennyLauren

Re: Futures: Boise State RB Jay Ajayi

Sorry, but your metaphor framing is jarring. By definition, a wild horse cannot become a thoroughbred. A throughbred is a result of breeding, hence the "bred" in the name.

Re: Futures: Boise State RB Jay Ajayi

No worries, thanks.

Re: Futures: Boise State RB Jay Ajayi

Another line of thought here would be the pre-snap read for the RB. This is an inside zone play to the left from under center. On the play side there are fully 4 defenders (2 down lineman, 1 LB and 1 walked up LB playing contain) against 3 blockers (G,T & TE). The MLB seems to be directly over the center and the NT is shaded to the play side. On the back side (right) there is only 1 down lineman and 1 walked up LB on the edge vs 4 blockers (G,T,TE & Hback). With that picture, the RB should be thinking about bending his run path to the backside after getting the ball. Most coaches teach the IZ path as bang (middle) or bend (cut back) but never bounce to the outside. Ajayi chooses to bounce this. I don't know how he is coached but its a general guideline that IZ is A gap to cut back.

The Safety rolls down at the snap to add an extra body on the edge. If Ajayi would have taken the "bend" path, it would have been one on one vs this safety in space just past the line of scrimmage. Thats a bet the OC will take everytime.

Re: Futures: Boise State RB Jay Ajayi

A bit over-sensitive in the edited intro? Geekily picking nits is kind of an FO board tradition..

Otherwise, thanks for another great Futures piece.

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Very well played guys.Great analysis and selections too..

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